Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 93.845931 104.461787 115.282473 127.106655 139.633744 152.481654 166.625912
2025-02-23 77.186710 92.475965 108.713452 127.120410 147.290110 168.610545 192.743517
2025-03-02 66.911146 84.783852 104.352877 127.123106 152.655279 180.187170 211.909534
2025-03-09 59.427368 79.183913 101.403666 127.837910 158.046896 191.147669 229.822845
2025-03-16 52.188704 73.086151 97.209138 126.512568 160.588542 198.466387 243.270434
2025-03-23 47.778781 69.894988 96.004155 128.279279 166.349518 209.158006 260.288727
2025-03-30 44.180021 67.352193 95.284878 130.365749 172.273189 219.874410 277.208906
2025-04-06 39.639127 63.254491 92.376050 129.571188 174.595100 226.268803 289.040654
2025-04-13 34.751784 58.328497 88.128939 126.874751 174.421808 229.570854 297.141332
2025-04-20 33.302395 57.842172 89.374693 130.850901 182.196719 242.151128 316.004649
2025-04-27 31.364853 56.534566 89.450485 133.276332 188.025194 252.392063 332.114488
2025-05-04 28.350195 53.504160 87.113321 132.517343 189.846204 257.784882 342.462024
2025-05-11 25.410841 50.403847 84.569106 131.426173 191.237785 262.689906 352.307400
2025-05-18 23.459355 48.614244 83.685727 132.402506 195.153739 270.613784 365.743997
2025-05-25 21.306840 46.349461 82.023246 132.254750 197.575912 276.667206 376.903492
2025-06-01 19.628296 44.688791 81.103154 133.010366 201.084786 284.009444 389.590607
2025-06-08 17.459119 42.060712 78.681195 131.649223 201.807599 287.871887 398.034670
2025-06-15 16.373158 41.132371 78.640523 133.459298 206.577268 296.710916 412.507519
2025-06-22 15.456429 40.417892 78.863528 135.595913 211.751312 306.046745 427.593660
2025-06-29 13.849252 38.359145 76.999647 134.782274 213.026126 310.490488 436.685009
2025-07-06 11.918854 35.519413 73.819275 132.020692 211.653549 311.552008 441.576300
2025-07-13 11.697539 35.857298 75.496263 136.092712 219.318302 323.992551 460.490694
2025-07-20 11.139193 35.498469 76.064322 138.576054 224.868320 333.770321 476.137007